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Combat Edge Intelligence

Erik Apple vs Iwan Tagner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Erik Apple
us

Erik Apple

“Bad”

10-3-0WelterweightSF

1578Solid

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record2-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach73.2"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erik AppleNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Iwan TagnerNow 1580
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
0%
Strike accuracy
Not available
0.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
82%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
8.07
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Erik AppleIwan Tagner
15501600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (40%)
Submission
2 (100%)
1 (10%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Erik Apple and Iwan Tagner within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1580), separated by just 2 points.

Erik Apple enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Iwan Tagner enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Erik Apple finishes 90% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.