Erik Apple vs Takashi Sato
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kings MMATeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erik AppleTakashi Sato
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Erik Apple and Takashi Sato within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1579), separated by just 1 points.
Erik Apple enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Erik Apple finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Takashi Sato 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.