Erik Calvert vs Xhelal Lleshi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record6-1-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70" ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight130 lbs
Without Limits MMA· 1562 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamDante Rivera BJJ· 1666 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Xhelal Lleshi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Erik Calvert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1588
If they lose-13→ 1556
If they win+20→ 1648
If they lose-28→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Erik CalvertXhelal Lleshi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Xhelal Lleshi75%
Erik Calvert 25%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Xhelal Lleshi a 75% favorite over Erik Calvert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Xhelal Lleshi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1628 to 1569, a 59-point edge.
Xhelal Lleshi enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Erik Calvert finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Xhelal Lleshi 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.