Erik Koch vs Masayuki Kikuiri
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record11-4-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
71,5"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Roufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamNever Quit
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Erik KochMasayuki Kikuiri
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erik Koch53%
Masayuki Kikuiri 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Erik Koch a 53% favorite over Masayuki Kikuiri in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1645), separated by just 0 points.
Masayuki Kikuiri enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Erik Koch finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Masayuki Kikuiri 73%.
Masayuki Kikuiri carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.