Combat Edge Intelligence

Erik Koch vs Ricardo Lamas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Erik Koch
us

Erik Koch

“The Phoenix”

16-6-0LightweightUFC

1644Solid

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record20-8-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71,5"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
RoufusportTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

Ricardo Lamas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Erik Koch carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Erik KochNow 1644
If they win+15→ 1659
If they lose-9→ 1635
Ricardo LamasNow 1730
If they win+9→ 1739
If they lose-15→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.33
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
42%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
47%
Strike defense
58%
1.02
Takedown avg.
1.84
43%
Takedown accuracy
34%
82%
Takedown defense
47%
1.02
Submission avg.
0.95

Trajectory

Erik KochRicardo Lamas
165017001750201820192020

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
6 (30%)
8 (50%)
Submission
5 (25%)
4 (25%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricardo Lamas69%
Erik Koch 31%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Lamas a 69% favorite over Erik Koch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Ricardo Lamas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1644, a 86-point edge.

Erik Koch finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lamas 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.