Erik Koch vs Ricardo Lamas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record20-8-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71,5"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Roufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Ricardo Lamas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Erik Koch carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1660
If they lose-9→ 1636
If they win+9→ 1735
If they lose-15→ 1711
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Erik KochRicardo Lamas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ricardo Lamas56%
Erik Koch 44%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Lamas a 56% favorite over Erik Koch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Ricardo Lamas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1645, a 81-point edge.
Erik Koch finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lamas 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.