Erik Koch vs Shane Campbell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record24-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
71,5"Reach71,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Roufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamShaolin Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633
If they win+12→ 1663
If they lose-12→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Erik KochShane Campbell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erik Koch63%
Shane Campbell 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Erik Koch a 63% favorite over Shane Campbell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shane Campbell's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1651), separated by just 6 points.
Erik Koch finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.