Combat Edge Intelligence

Erik Perez vs Felipe Arantes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Erik Perez
mx

Erik Perez

“Goyito”

20-9-0FeatherweightBFC

1657Good

Tale of the tape

20-9-0Record18-10-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
68,0"Reach73,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Alliance MMATeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

Erik Perez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Felipe Arantes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Erik PerezNow 1657
If they win+8→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1641
Felipe ArantesNow 1545
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-8→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.16
Sig. strikes / min
2.37
41%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.66
67%
Strike defense
64%
3.16
Takedown avg.
0.93
56%
Takedown accuracy
47%
69%
Takedown defense
41%
0.17
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Erik PerezFelipe Arantes
15501600165020162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

5 (25%)
KO/TKO
7 (39%)
8 (40%)
Submission
6 (33%)
7 (35%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Erik Perez70%
Felipe Arantes 30%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Erik Perez a 70% favorite over Felipe Arantes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Erik Perez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1545, a 112-point edge.

Felipe Arantes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Erik Perez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Arantes 72%.

Felipe Arantes carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.