Combat Edge Intelligence

Erik Perez vs Francisco Rivera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Erik Perez
mx

Erik Perez

“Goyito”

20-9-0FeatherweightBFC

1657Good

Tale of the tape

20-9-0Record16-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
68,0"Reach68,0"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alliance MMATeamAll In MMA

What's at stake

Erik Perez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Francisco Rivera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Erik PerezNow 1657
If they win+10→ 1667
If they lose-14→ 1643
Francisco RiveraNow 1611
If they win+14→ 1625
If they lose-10→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.16
Sig. strikes / min
4.07
41%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.16
67%
Strike defense
68%
3.16
Takedown avg.
1.01
56%
Takedown accuracy
64%
69%
Takedown defense
68%
0.17
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Erik PerezFrancisco Rivera
16001650202120222023

Win method breakdown

5 (25%)
KO/TKO
10 (63%)
8 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (35%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Erik Perez69%
Francisco Rivera 31%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Erik Perez a 69% favorite over Francisco Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Erik Perez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1611, a 46-point edge.

Erik Perez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Rivera 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.