Erik Perez vs Takeya Mizugaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record23-14-2
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68,0"Reach68,0"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamHakkei Gym
What's at stake
Erik Perez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Takeya Mizugaki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1668
If they lose-13→ 1644
If they win+13→ 1634
If they lose-11→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Erik PerezTakeya Mizugaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Erik Perez and Takeya Mizugaki within a point of even.
Erik Perez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1621, a 36-point edge.
Erik Perez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Takeya Mizugaki 26%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.