Combat Edge Intelligence

Erik Perez vs Taylor Lapilus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Erik Perez
mx

Erik Perez

“Goyito”

20-9-0FeatherweightBFC

1657Good

Tale of the tape

20-9-0Record25-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68,0"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alliance MMATeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

Taylor Lapilus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Erik Perez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Erik PerezNow 1657
If they win+15→ 1672
If they lose-9→ 1648
Taylor LapilusNow 1750
If they win+12→ 1762
If they lose-20→ 1730

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.16
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
41%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
67%
Strike defense
63%
3.16
Takedown avg.
0.27
56%
Takedown accuracy
33%
69%
Takedown defense
77%
0.17
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Erik PerezTaylor Lapilus
165017001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (20%)
8 (40%)
Submission
6 (24%)
7 (35%)
Decision
14 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Taylor Lapilus79%
Erik Perez 21%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Lapilus a 79% favorite over Erik Perez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Taylor Lapilus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1657, a 93-point edge.

Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Erik Perez finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Taylor Lapilus 44%.

Taylor Lapilus carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.