Erik Silva vs Muhammad Naimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Antonio Silva Martial ArtsTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Muhammad Naimov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Erik Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1600
If they lose-12→ 1568
If they win+12→ 1691
If they lose-20→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erik SilvaMuhammad Naimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muhammad Naimov79%
Erik Silva 21%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Naimov a 79% favorite over Erik Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Muhammad Naimov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1679 to 1580, a 99-point edge.
Erik Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Erik Silva finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Naimov 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.