Erin Blanchfield vs Jéssica Andrade
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record26-15-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'2"
66"Reach62"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamParana Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Erin Blanchfield is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jéssica Andrade carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1778
If they lose-21→ 1746
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-8→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erin BlanchfieldJéssica Andrade
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erin Blanchfield92%
Jéssica Andrade 8%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Erin Blanchfield a 92% favorite over Jéssica Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Erin Blanchfield holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1661, a 106-point edge.
Erin Blanchfield enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Erin Blanchfield finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jéssica Andrade 69%.
Erin Blanchfield carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.