Erin Blanchfield vs Liz Carmouche
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record26-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'6"
66"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Erin Blanchfield is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Liz Carmouche carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1782
If they lose-17→ 1750
If they win+13→ 1762
If they lose-11→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erin BlanchfieldLiz Carmouche
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erin Blanchfield60%
Liz Carmouche 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Erin Blanchfield a 60% favorite over Liz Carmouche in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Erin Blanchfield holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1749, a 18-point edge.
Erin Blanchfield enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Liz Carmouche enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Erin Blanchfield finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Liz Carmouche 69%.
Erin Blanchfield and Liz Carmouche share 1 common opponent: Taila Santos.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.