Erin Blanchfield vs Valentina Shevchenko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record26-4-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
66"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
Valentina Shevchenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Erin Blanchfield carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1786
If they lose-13→ 1754
If they win+10→ 1844
If they lose-14→ 1820
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erin BlanchfieldValentina Shevchenko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Erin Blanchfield and Valentina Shevchenko within a point of even.
Valentina Shevchenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1834 to 1767, a 67-point edge.
Erin Blanchfield enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Valentina Shevchenko enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Erin Blanchfield finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Valentina Shevchenko 58%.
Erin Blanchfield and Valentina Shevchenko share 3 common opponents: Manon Fiorot, Taila Santos and Jéssica Andrade.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.