Combat Edge Intelligence

Erivan Pereira vs Kevin Holland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-3-0Record29-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
-Reach81"
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
Five Rounds BrasilTeamPhalanx MMA Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erivan PereiraNow 1735
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
Kevin HollandNow 1736
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1740 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.24
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.21
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.79
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
58%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Erivan PereiraKevin Holland
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (30%)
KO/TKO
14 (48%)
3 (15%)
Submission
9 (31%)
11 (55%)
Decision
6 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Erivan Pereira71%
Kevin Holland 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Erivan Pereira a 71% favorite over Kevin Holland in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Holland's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1735 vs 1736), separated by just 1 points.

Erivan Pereira enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Erivan Pereira finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Holland 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.