Erivan Pereira vs Pawel Pawlak
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-3-0Record23-4-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
Five Rounds BrasilTeamOctopus Lodz
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
If they win+12→ 1744
If they lose-12→ 1720
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erivan PereiraPawel Pawlak
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erivan Pereira66%
Pawel Pawlak 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Erivan Pereira a 66% favorite over Pawel Pawlak in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1735 vs 1732), separated by just 3 points.
Erivan Pereira enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Pawel Pawlak enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Erivan Pereira finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Pawel Pawlak 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.