Ernesta Kareckaite vs Jessica Eye
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-1Record15-11-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'6"
71"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Fighters LandTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ernesta KareckaiteJessica Eye
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ernesta Kareckaite73%
Jessica Eye 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ernesta Kareckaite a 73% favorite over Jessica Eye in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jessica Eye's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1585), separated by just 3 points.
Jessica Eye enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ernesta Kareckaite finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Jessica Eye 27%.
Ernesta Kareckaite carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.