Ernesta Kareckaite vs Nicolle Caliari
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-1Record9-4-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'9"Height5'3"
71"Reach 62"
125 lbsWeight116 lbs
Fighters LandTeamThai Brasil
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1607
If they lose-23→ 1559
If they win+15→ 1609
If they lose-17→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ernesta KareckaiteNicolle Caliari
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ernesta Kareckaite and Nicolle Caliari within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1594), separated by just 12 points.
Ernesta Kareckaite finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Nicolle Caliari 100%.
Ernesta Kareckaite and Nicolle Caliari share 1 common opponent: Carli Judice.
Ernesta Kareckaite carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.