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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ernesto Rodriguez vs Gadzhi Omargadzhiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record14-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
73"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamCSKA Moscow

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ernesto RodriguezNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
Gadzhi OmargadzhievNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
Not available
Strike accuracy
39%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.20
Not available
Strike defense
40%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.35
Not available
Takedown accuracy
30%
Not available
Takedown defense
60%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Ernesto RodriguezGadzhi Omargadzhiev
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
1 (9%)
Submission
3 (21%)
7 (64%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ernesto Rodriguez and Gadzhi Omargadzhiev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1664), separated by just 1 points.

Ernesto Rodriguez finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 86%.

Ernesto Rodriguez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.