Combat Edge Intelligence

Ernesto Rodriguez vs Jordan Mein

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jordan Mein
ca

Jordan Mein

“Young Gun”

32-14-0WelterweightBTC

1665Good

Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record32-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
73"Reach41,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamCanadian Martial Arts Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ernesto RodriguezNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
Jordan MeinNow 1665
If they win+12→ 1677
If they lose-12→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.35
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
TBD
Strike defense
69%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.56
TBD
Takedown accuracy
58%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Ernesto RodriguezJordan Mein
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
16 (50%)
1 (9%)
Submission
7 (22%)
7 (64%)
Decision
9 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Ernesto Rodriguez70%
Jordan Mein 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ernesto Rodriguez a 70% favorite over Jordan Mein in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1665), separated by just 0 points.

Ernesto Rodriguez finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Mein 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.