Ernesto Rodriguez vs Yushin Okami
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record37-15-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'2"
73"Reach41,5"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamEXFIGHT
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ernesto RodriguezYushin Okami
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ernesto Rodriguez70%
Yushin Okami 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ernesto Rodriguez a 70% favorite over Yushin Okami in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yushin Okami's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1667), separated by just 2 points.
Ernesto Rodriguez finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Yushin Okami 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.