Combat Edge Intelligence

Erson Yamamoto vs Jin Tanaka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-8-0Record0-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach-
125 lbsWeight124 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erson YamamotoNow 1492
If they win+16→ 1508
If they lose-16→ 1476
Jin TanakaNow 1500
If they win+23→ 1523
If they lose-25→ 1475

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight EloTBD

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (57%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Erson Yamamoto60%
Jin Tanaka 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Erson Yamamoto a 60% favorite over Jin Tanaka in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jin Tanaka's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1492 vs 1500), separated by just 8 points.

Erson Yamamoto enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Erson Yamamoto finishes 43% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.