Combat Edge Intelligence

Erson Yamamoto vs Josua Hernández

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-8-0Record2-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
-Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Krazy BeeTeamInvictus No Love Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erson YamamotoNow 1475
If they win+16→ 1491
If they lose-16→ 1459
Josua HernándezNow 1478
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Erson YamamotoJosua Hernández
14501500202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
1 (14%)
Submission
1 (50%)
4 (57%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Erson Yamamoto72%
Josua Hernández 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Erson Yamamoto a 72% favorite over Josua Hernández in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josua Hernández's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1475 vs 1478), separated by just 3 points.

Erson Yamamoto enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Erson Yamamoto finishes 43% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.