Eryk Anders vs Lyoto Machida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record26-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
75"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Spartan Fitness MMATeamAPAM
What's at stake
Lyoto Machida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Eryk Anders carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1677
If they lose-11→ 1653
If they win+11→ 1696
If they lose-13→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eryk AndersLyoto Machida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eryk Anders70%
Lyoto Machida 30%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Eryk Anders a 70% favorite over Lyoto Machida in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lyoto Machida's way (47%).
Lyoto Machida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1664, a 21-point edge.
Lyoto Machida enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Eryk Anders finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Lyoto Machida 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.