Eryk Anders vs Thiago Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record22-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75"Reach 76"
185 lbsWeight241 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eryk AndersThiago Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eryk Anders63%
Thiago Santos 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Eryk Anders a 63% favorite over Thiago Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thiago Santos's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1674), separated by just 10 points.
Thiago Santos enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Eryk Anders finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Santos 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.