Combat Edge Intelligence

Eryk Anders vs Tim Williams

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eryk Anders
us

Eryk Anders

“Ya Boi”

18-9-0MiddleweightUFC

1664Good
Tim Williams
us

Tim Williams

“The South Jersey Strangler”

15-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record15-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75"Reach42,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Spartan Fitness MMATeamTeam Balance

What's at stake

Eryk Anders is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Tim Williams carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eryk AndersNow 1664
If they win+11→ 1675
If they lose-13→ 1651
Tim WilliamsNow 1625
If they win+18→ 1643
If they lose-14→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
3.07
48%
Strike accuracy
39%
4.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.55
51%
Strike defense
49%
1.71
Takedown avg.
1.81
25%
Takedown accuracy
40%
80%
Takedown defense
100%
0.07
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eryk AndersTim Williams
1600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
1 (6%)
Submission
9 (60%)
7 (39%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Eryk Anders70%
Tim Williams 30%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Eryk Anders a 70% favorite over Tim Williams in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Eryk Anders holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1625, a 39-point edge.

Tim Williams enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eryk Anders finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Tim Williams 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.