Combat Edge Intelligence

Eryk Anders vs Tom Breese

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eryk Anders
us

Eryk Anders

“Ya Boi”

18-9-0MiddleweightUFC

1664Good

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record18-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Spartan Fitness MMATeamTeam Renegade

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eryk AndersNow 1664
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
Tom BreeseNow 1662
If they win+12→ 1674
If they lose-12→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
3.34
48%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
51%
Strike defense
61%
1.71
Takedown avg.
0
25%
Takedown accuracy
0%
80%
Takedown defense
71%
0.07
Submission avg.
1.07

Trajectory

Eryk AndersTom Breese
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
1 (6%)
Submission
12 (67%)
7 (39%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Eryk Anders60%
Tom Breese 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eryk Anders a 60% favorite over Tom Breese in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1662), separated by just 2 points.

Tom Breese enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Eryk Anders finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Tom Breese 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.