Combat Edge Intelligence

Eslam Abdul Baset vs Robert Bryczek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record18-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
N/AReach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eslam Abdul BasetNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Robert BryczekNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.74
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.08
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.56
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
86%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eslam Abdul BasetRobert Bryczek
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
12 (67%)
3 (19%)
Submission
1 (6%)
6 (38%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Bryczek58%
Eslam Abdul Baset 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Bryczek a 58% favorite over Eslam Abdul Baset in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eslam Abdul Baset's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1661), separated by just 3 points.

Eslam Abdul Baset enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eslam Abdul Baset finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Robert Bryczek 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.