Eslam Abdul Baset vs Tom Breese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-0Record18-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
N/AReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Black Bulls TeamTeamTeam Renegade· 1731 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eslam Abdul BasetTom Breese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eslam Abdul Baset56%
Tom Breese 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Eslam Abdul Baset a 56% favorite over Tom Breese in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1664), separated by just 0 points.
Eslam Abdul Baset enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tom Breese enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Eslam Abdul Baset finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tom Breese 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.