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Combat Edge Intelligence

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem vs Luke Cummo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record6-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamSerra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel MenemNow 1515
If they win+24→ 1539
If they lose-24→ 1491
Luke CummoNow 1515
If they win+16→ 1531
If they lose-16→ 1499

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.74
Not available
Strike accuracy
43%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.50
Not available
Strike defense
60%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.89
Not available
Takedown accuracy
56%
Not available
Takedown defense
43%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.42

Trajectory

Eslam Mostafa Abdel MenemLuke Cummo
15001550200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
2 (33%)
Submission
1 (17%)
3 (50%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Luke Cummo52%
Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luke Cummo a 52% favorite over Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1515 vs 1515), separated by just 0 points.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Luke Cummo 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.