Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem vs Marcelo Aguiar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record2-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight168 lbs
TeamAcademia Boxe
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483
If they win+24→ 1526
If they lose-24→ 1478
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eslam Mostafa Abdel MenemMarcelo Aguiar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem66%
Marcelo Aguiar 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem a 66% favorite over Marcelo Aguiar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1507 vs 1502), separated by just 5 points.
Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcelo Aguiar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.