Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem vs Ryan Garcia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record25-2-0
WelterweightDivisionwelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
-Reach70"
170 lbsWeight147 lbs
TBDTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1530
If they lose-24→ 1482
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 9 fightsPre-fight EloTBD
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem56%
Ryan Garcia 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem a 56% favorite over Ryan Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1506 vs 1500), separated by just 6 points.
Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Garcia 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.