Combat Edge Intelligence

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem vs Ryan Madigan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Madigan
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Ryan Madigan

“The Lion”

5-3-0WelterweightWorld Kickboxing Academy

1506Average

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record5-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamJungle Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel MenemNow 1505
If they win+24→ 1529
If they lose-24→ 1481
Ryan MadiganNow 1506
If they win+24→ 1530
If they lose-24→ 1482

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
0%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.35
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eslam Mostafa Abdel MenemRyan Madigan
15001550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
2 (33%)
Submission
2 (40%)
3 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem79%
Ryan Madigan 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem a 79% favorite over Ryan Madigan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Madigan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1505 vs 1506), separated by just 1 points.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryan Madigan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Madigan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.