Combat Edge Intelligence

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem vs Shinji Sasaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Shinji Sasaki
jp

Shinji Sasaki

“Torao Supernova”

20-15-3WelterweightRFF

1514Average

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record20-15-3
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamBurst

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel MenemNow 1506
If they win+25→ 1531
If they lose-23→ 1483
Shinji SasakiNow 1514
If they win+16→ 1530
If they lose-16→ 1498

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Eslam Mostafa Abdel MenemShinji Sasaki
1500155020252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
2 (33%)
Submission
11 (55%)
3 (50%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem60%
Shinji Sasaki 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem a 60% favorite over Shinji Sasaki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shinji Sasaki's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1506 vs 1514), separated by just 8 points.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shinji Sasaki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Shinji Sasaki 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.