Esteban Ribovics vs Kamuela Kirk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record12-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
69"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamSiege MMA
What's at stake
Esteban Ribovics is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Kamuela Kirk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1738
If they lose-22→ 1706
If they win+22→ 1605
If they lose-10→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Esteban RibovicsKamuela Kirk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Esteban Ribovics84%
Kamuela Kirk 16%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Esteban Ribovics a 84% favorite over Kamuela Kirk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Esteban Ribovics holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1583, a 145-point edge.
Kamuela Kirk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Esteban Ribovics finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Kamuela Kirk 92%.
Kamuela Kirk carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.