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Combat Edge Intelligence

Esteban Ribovics vs Manoel Sousa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-3-0Record15-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
69"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAcademia Octogono

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Esteban RibovicsNow 1762
If they win+16→ 1778
If they lose-16→ 1746
Manoel SousaNow 1758
If they win+16→ 1774
If they lose-16→ 1742

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

7.43
Sig. strikes / min
4.15
44%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.71
54%
Strike defense
51%
0.32
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
66%
Takedown defense
60%
0.16
Submission avg.
1.65

Trajectory

Esteban RibovicsManoel Sousa
1700175020252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
5 (29%)
Submission
3 (20%)
3 (18%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Esteban Ribovics57%
Manoel Sousa 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Esteban Ribovics a 57% favorite over Manoel Sousa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1762 vs 1758), separated by just 4 points.

Esteban Ribovics enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Manoel Sousa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Esteban Ribovics finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Manoel Sousa 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.