Combat Edge Intelligence

Esteban Ribovics vs Mauricio Ruffy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-3-0Record14-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
69"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamThe Fighting Nerds· 1712 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Esteban RibovicsNow 1746
If they win+16→ 1762
If they lose-16→ 1730
Mauricio RuffyNow 1747
If they win+16→ 1763
If they lose-16→ 1731

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.27
Sig. strikes / min
4.19
43%
Strike accuracy
57%
5.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.83
55%
Strike defense
59%
0.35
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
66%
Takedown defense
87%
0.17
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Esteban RibovicsMauricio Ruffy
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
5 (31%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (19%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Esteban Ribovics and Mauricio Ruffy within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1746 vs 1747), separated by just 1 points.

Mauricio Ruffy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Esteban Ribovics finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Mauricio Ruffy 93%.

Mauricio Ruffy carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.