Esteban Ribovics vs Terrance McKinney
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-3-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
69"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamWarrior Camp
What's at stake
Esteban Ribovics is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Terrance McKinney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1774
If they lose-20→ 1742
If they win+15→ 1677
If they lose-9→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Esteban RibovicsTerrance McKinney
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Esteban Ribovics82%
Terrance McKinney 18%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Esteban Ribovics a 82% favorite over Terrance McKinney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Esteban Ribovics holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1762 to 1662, a 100-point edge.
Esteban Ribovics enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Esteban Ribovics finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Terrance McKinney 100%.
Esteban Ribovics and Terrance McKinney share 1 common opponent: King Green.
Terrance McKinney carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.