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Combat Edge Intelligence

Estevan Payan vs Robbie Peralta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Estevan Payan
us

Estevan Payan

“El Terrible”

17-14-0LightweightPFC

1525Average

Tale of the tape

17-14-0Record19-9-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
148 lbsWeight145 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamTeam Xplode MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Estevan PayanNow 1525
If they win+12→ 1537
If they lose-12→ 1513
Robbie PeraltaNow 1535
If they win+16→ 1551
If they lose-16→ 1519

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.25
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
43%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
58%
Strike defense
53%
0.36
Takedown avg.
0.59
100%
Takedown accuracy
67%
60%
Takedown defense
65%
0.36
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Estevan PayanRobbie Peralta
155016002015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
13 (68%)
3 (18%)
Submission
2 (11%)
7 (41%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Estevan Payan and Robbie Peralta within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1535), separated by just 10 points.

Estevan Payan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Robbie Peralta enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Estevan Payan finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Robbie Peralta 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.