Estevan Payan vs Robbie Peralta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-14-0Record19-9-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
148 lbsWeight145 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamTeam Xplode MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1537
If they lose-12→ 1513
If they win+15→ 1553
If they lose-17→ 1521
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Estevan PayanRobbie Peralta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robbie Peralta56%
Estevan Payan 44%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Robbie Peralta a 56% favorite over Estevan Payan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1538), separated by just 13 points.
Estevan Payan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Robbie Peralta enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Estevan Payan finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Robbie Peralta 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.