Combat Edge Intelligence

Eugene Jackson vs Ricardo Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-1Record13-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gladiators Training AcademyTeamRenzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Ricardo Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Eugene Jackson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eugene JacksonNow 1528
If they win+19→ 1547
If they lose-13→ 1515
Ricardo AlmeidaNow 1603
If they win+13→ 1616
If they lose-19→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.19
Sig. strikes / min
2.02
25%
Strike accuracy
49%
12.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.20
33%
Strike defense
61%
2.86
Takedown avg.
3.74
67%
Takedown accuracy
38%
17%
Takedown defense
31%
4.29
Submission avg.
1.21

Trajectory

Eugene JacksonRicardo Almeida
1550160020072008200920102011

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
10 (67%)
Submission
5 (38%)
1 (7%)
Decision
8 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricardo Almeida78%
Eugene Jackson 22%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Almeida a 78% favorite over Eugene Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Ricardo Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1603 to 1528, a 75-point edge.

Eugene Jackson finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Almeida 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.