Combat Edge Intelligence

Evan Dunham vs Evgeny Morozov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-9-1Record12-2-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamBarracuda Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Evan DunhamNow 1670
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658
Evgeny MorozovNow 1671
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
1.82
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.98
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Evan DunhamEvgeny Morozov
160016501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (17%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
6 (33%)
Submission
2 (17%)
9 (50%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Evgeny Morozov70%
Evan Dunham 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Evgeny Morozov a 70% favorite over Evan Dunham in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1671), separated by just 1 points.

Evan Dunham enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Evgeny Morozov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Evan Dunham finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Evgeny Morozov 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.