Evan Dunham vs Joe Lauzon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-1Record28-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
Evan Dunham is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joe Lauzon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1680
If they lose-13→ 1656
If they win+13→ 1662
If they lose-11→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Evan DunhamJoe Lauzon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Evan Dunham and Joe Lauzon within a point of even.
Evan Dunham holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1649, a 20-point edge.
Evan Dunham enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Evan Dunham finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Joe Lauzon 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.