Evan Dunham vs Marcirley Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-1Record15-6-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'4"
70,0"Reach66"
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1704 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Evan DunhamMarcirley Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Evan Dunham and Marcirley Alves within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1659), separated by just 10 points.
Evan Dunham enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcirley Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Evan Dunham finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marcirley Alves 67%.
Evan Dunham carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.