Evan Dunham vs Rodrigo Damm
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-1Record12-9-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70,0"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAlliance Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Evan Dunham is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Rodrigo Damm carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1653
If they win+21→ 1571
If they lose-11→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Evan DunhamRodrigo Damm
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Evan Dunham68%
Rodrigo Damm 32%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Evan Dunham a 68% favorite over Rodrigo Damm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Evan Dunham holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1550, a 119-point edge.
Evan Dunham enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Rodrigo Damm enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Evan Dunham finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Damm 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.