Combat Edge Intelligence

Evan Dunham vs Rodrigo Damm

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-9-1Record12-9-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70,0"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAlliance Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Evan Dunham is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Rodrigo Damm carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Evan DunhamNow 1670
If they win+8→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1654
Rodrigo DammNow 1551
If they win+21→ 1572
If they lose-11→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.33
Sig. strikes / min
0
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
1.82
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.98
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Evan DunhamRodrigo Damm
155016001650170020132014201520162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

3 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
6 (33%)
Submission
6 (50%)
9 (50%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Evan Dunham70%
Rodrigo Damm 30%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Evan Dunham a 70% favorite over Rodrigo Damm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Evan Dunham holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1551, a 119-point edge.

Evan Dunham enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Rodrigo Damm enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Evan Dunham finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Damm 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.