Evan Dunham vs Sean Sherk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-1Record36-4-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'6"
70,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMinnesota Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
Sean Sherk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Evan Dunham carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1684
If they lose-10→ 1660
If they win+10→ 1732
If they lose-14→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Evan DunhamSean Sherk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Sherk60%
Evan Dunham 40%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Sherk a 60% favorite over Evan Dunham in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Sean Sherk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1722 to 1670, a 52-point edge.
Evan Dunham enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sean Sherk enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Evan Dunham finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Sean Sherk 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.