Evan Dunham vs Tyson Griffin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-9-1Record17-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'6"
70,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1639 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Evan Dunham is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Tyson Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1678
If they lose-15→ 1654
If they win+20→ 1600
If they lose-12→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Evan DunhamTyson Griffin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Evan Dunham62%
Tyson Griffin 38%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Evan Dunham a 62% favorite over Tyson Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Evan Dunham holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1580, a 89-point edge.
Evan Dunham enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Evan Dunham finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Griffin 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.