Evan Elder vs Gauge Young
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record11-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nick Diaz AcademyTeamIgnite Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Evan ElderGauge Young
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gauge Young60%
Evan Elder 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Gauge Young a 60% favorite over Evan Elder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Evan Elder's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1643), separated by just 7 points.
Evan Elder enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Gauge Young enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Evan Elder finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Gauge Young 64%.
Evan Elder carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.