Evan Elder vs Jessin Ayari
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record16-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
72"Reach73,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nick Diaz AcademyTeamHammers Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Evan ElderJessin Ayari
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Evan Elder63%
Jessin Ayari 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Evan Elder a 63% favorite over Jessin Ayari in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jessin Ayari's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.
Evan Elder enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jessin Ayari enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Evan Elder finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Jessin Ayari 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.