Evan Elder vs Leandro Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record28-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"Reach42,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nick Diaz Academy· 1669 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
If they win+12→ 1663
If they lose-12→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Evan ElderLeandro Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Evan Elder70%
Leandro Silva 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Evan Elder a 70% favorite over Leandro Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1651), separated by just 0 points.
Evan Elder enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Evan Elder finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Leandro Silva 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.