Combat Edge Intelligence

Evan Elder vs Nazim Sadykhov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Evan Elder
us

Evan Elder

“The Phenom”

10-2-0LightweightUFC

1651Good

Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record11-3-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nick Diaz Academy· 1669 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamLongo and Weidman MMA

What's at stake

Nazim Sadykhov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Evan Elder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Evan ElderNow 1651
If they win+18→ 1669
If they lose-14→ 1637
Nazim SadykhovNow 1685
If they win+14→ 1699
If they lose-18→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.66
Sig. strikes / min
4.79
51%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.49
57%
Strike defense
49%
0.48
Takedown avg.
1.10
15%
Takedown accuracy
45%
40%
Takedown defense
72%
0.48
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Evan ElderNazim Sadykhov
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
2 (20%)
Submission
2 (18%)
4 (40%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Nazim Sadykhov66%
Evan Elder 34%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Nazim Sadykhov a 66% favorite over Evan Elder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Nazim Sadykhov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1651, a 34-point edge.

Evan Elder enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Nazim Sadykhov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Evan Elder finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Nazim Sadykhov 91%.

Evan Elder carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.